Оперативный Мониторинг Экономической Ситуации в России. (Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook.)

Тенденции и Вызовы Социально-Экономического Развития, № 8 (Май) 2015 г. (Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, No. 8 (May) 2015)

38 Pages Posted: 2 Oct 2015

See all articles by Elena M. Avraamova

Elena M. Avraamova

Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Institute of Physics and Power Engineering (IPPE)

Alexandra Bozhechkova

Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy; Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Institute of Applied Economic Research

Alexander Deryugin

Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Institute of Business Studies; Financial Research Institute of the Ministry of Finance of the Russian Federation; Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy

Anna Kiyutsevskaya

Center for Macroeconomic Research, Alfa Bank

Michael Khromov

Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy; Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Structural Research Laboratory

Dmitriy Loginov

Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Institute of Social Analysis and Forecasting

Kirill Rogov

Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy

Natalia Shagaida

Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Institute of Applied Economic Research; Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy

Sergey Tsukhlo

Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy

Pavel Trunin

Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy

Date Written: May 27, 2015

Abstract

Russian Abstract: Начавшееся в апреле и продолжившееся в мае снижение темпов инфляции в годовом выражении связано с одновременным действием нескольких факторов – укреплением рубля, продолжающимся сжатием потребительского спроса и снижением мировых цен на продовольствие. Фундаментальное влияние на макроэкономическую динамику продолжает оказывать рост цен на нефть: в первые три недели мая средняя цена барреля нефти была на 35% выше январского.

English Abstract: Commenced in April and ongoing in May reduction of inflation rates in annual terms is due to a number of factors: appreciation of the ruble, continued contraction of consumer demand and reduction of the global food prices. Fundumental influence on macroeconomic dynamics still impact growing oil prices: over first three weeks of May average crude oil price for a barrel was up 35% against January 2015.

Note: Downloadable document is in Russian.

Keywords: Russian economy, oil price, banking sector, real sector

JEL Classification: F34, G24, L 71, C53, E37, L21, L52

Suggested Citation

Avraamova, Elena M. and Bozhechkova, Alexandra and Deryugin, Alexander and Kiyutsevskaya, Anna and Khromov, Michael and Loginov, Dmitriy and Rogov, Kirill and Shagaida, Natalia and Tsukhlo, Sergey and Trunin, Pavel, Оперативный Мониторинг Экономической Ситуации в России. (Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook.) (May 27, 2015). Тенденции и Вызовы Социально-Экономического Развития, № 8 (Май) 2015 г. (Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, No. 8 (May) 2015), Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2668062

Elena M. Avraamova

Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Institute of Physics and Power Engineering (IPPE) ( email )

Moscow
Russia

Alexandra Bozhechkova

Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy ( email )

Gazetny pereylok 3-5
Moscow, 125993
Russia

Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Institute of Applied Economic Research ( email )

Russia

Alexander Deryugin

Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Institute of Business Studies ( email )

Vernadskogo ave. 82
Moscow, 119571
Russia
+79166306588 (Phone)

Financial Research Institute of the Ministry of Finance of the Russian Federation ( email )

Nastasyinsky Lane, 3, p. 2
Moscow, 127006
Russia
+79166306588 (Phone)

Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy ( email )

3-5 Gazetny Lane
Moscow, 125009
Russia
+79166306588 (Phone)

Anna Kiyutsevskaya

Center for Macroeconomic Research, Alfa Bank ( email )

Moscow
Russia

Michael Khromov

Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy ( email )

3-5 Gazetny Lane
Moscow, 125009
Russia

Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Structural Research Laboratory ( email )

Moscow
Russia

Dmitriy Loginov

Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Institute of Social Analysis and Forecasting ( email )

Prechistenskaya naberezhnaya 11
Moscow, Moscow 119034
Russia

Kirill Rogov

Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy ( email )

Gazetny Lane 3-5
Moscow, 125993
Russia

Natalia Shagaida

Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Institute of Applied Economic Research ( email )

Russia
+74956292971 (Phone)

Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy ( email )

3-5 Gazetny Lane
Moscow, 125009
Russia

Sergey Tsukhlo (Contact Author)

Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy ( email )

3-5 Gazetny Lane
Moscow, 125009
Russia

Pavel Trunin

Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy ( email )

Gazetny pereulok, 3-5
Moscow, 125993
Russia

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