Оперативный Мониторинг Экономической Ситуации в России. (Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook.)

Тенденции и Вызовы Социально-Экономического Развития, № 5 (март 2015 г.) (Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, No. 5 March 2015)

27 Pages Posted: 2 Oct 2015

See all articles by Sergey Drobyshevsky

Sergey Drobyshevsky

Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy; Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration

Eugene Goryunov

Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy

Alexander Deryugin

Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Institute of Business Studies; Financial Research Institute of the Ministry of Finance of the Russian Federation; Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy

Georgy Idrisov

Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy

Olga Izryadnova

Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy; Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration

Andrey Kaukin

Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy; Russian Foreign Trade Academy

Arseny Mamedov

Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy

Olga Morgunova

Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)

Kirill Rogov

Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy

Pavel Trunin

Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy

Sergey Tsukhlo

Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy

Marina Turuntseva

Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy; Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)

Vasily Zatsepin

Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy; Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Date Written: March 31, 2015

Abstract

Russian Abstract: С середины марта и официальные лица, и многие эксперты заговорили о признаках стабилизации в российской экономике, прежде всего – о стабилизации курса рубля и уровня инфляции. По всей видимости, влияние прямых последствий декабрьского валютного кризиса, действительно, ослабевает. Однако косвенные последствия девальвации, а также падения нефтяных доходов и резкого ограничения возможностей внешнего финансирования экономики носят долгосрочный характер и их последствия,скорее всего, еще далеко не достигли своего пика.

English Abstract: From mid-March, both government officials and experts stated speaking about signs of economic stabilization in Russia, first of all, about ruble stabilization and inflation rate. Most likely, impact of direct consequences of December 2014 currency crisis is weakening, indeed. However, indirect consequences of devaluation as well as reduction of oil receipts and sharp reduction of external financing of the economy have a long-term trend and their consequences, most likely, have reached its peak yet.

Note: Downloadable document is in Russian.

Keywords: Russian economy, macroeconomics, finance, real sector, income, labor market

JEL Classification: F34, G24, L 71, C53, E37, L21, L52

Suggested Citation

Drobyshevsky, Sergey and Goryunov, Eugene and Deryugin, Alexander and Idrisov, Georgy and Izryadnova, Olga and Kaukin, Andrey and Mamedov, Arseny and Morgunova, Olga and Rogov, Kirill and Trunin, Pavel and Tsukhlo, Sergey and Turuntseva, Marina and Zatsepin, Vasily, Оперативный Мониторинг Экономической Ситуации в России. (Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook.) (March 31, 2015). Тенденции и Вызовы Социально-Экономического Развития, № 5 (март 2015 г.) (Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development, No. 5 March 2015), Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2668150

Sergey Drobyshevsky

Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy ( email )

Gazetny pereulok, 3-5
Moscow, 125993
Russia

Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration ( email )

Varnadskogo Avenue,82
Moscow, 119571
Russia

Eugene Goryunov

Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy ( email )

Gazetny per., 3-5
Moscow, 125993
Russia

Alexander Deryugin

Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Institute of Business Studies ( email )

Vernadskogo ave. 82
Moscow, 119571
Russia
+79166306588 (Phone)

Financial Research Institute of the Ministry of Finance of the Russian Federation ( email )

Nastasyinsky Lane, 3, p. 2
Moscow, 127006
Russia
+79166306588 (Phone)

Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy ( email )

3-5 Gazetny Lane
Moscow, 125009
Russia
+79166306588 (Phone)

Georgy Idrisov

Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy ( email )

Gazetny Lane 3-5
Moscow, 125993
Russia

Olga Izryadnova (Contact Author)

Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy ( email )

Gazetny pereulok, 3-5
Moscow, 125993
Russia

Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration ( email )

Vernadsky Avenue 82
Moscow, 119571
Russia

Andrey Kaukin

Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy ( email )

Moscow, 125993
Russia

Russian Foreign Trade Academy

4a Pudovkin str.
Moscow, 119285
Russia

Arseny Mamedov

Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy ( email )

3-5 Gazetny Lane
Moscow, 125009
Russia

Olga Morgunova

Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) ( email )

Vernadskogo Prospect 82
Moscow, 119571
Russia

Kirill Rogov

Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy ( email )

Gazetny Lane 3-5
Moscow, 125993
Russia

Pavel Trunin

Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy ( email )

Gazetny pereulok, 3-5
Moscow, 125993
Russia

Sergey Tsukhlo

Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy ( email )

3-5 Gazetny Lane
Moscow, 125009
Russia

Marina Turuntseva

Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy

Gazetny lane, 3-5
Moscow, 125993
Russia

Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) ( email )

Varnadskogo Avenue,82
Moscow, 119571
Russia

Vasily Zatsepin

Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy ( email )

3-5 Gazetny Lane
Moscow, 125009
Russia

Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration ( email )

Vernadsky Avenue 82
Moscow, 119571
Russia

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