Оперативный Мониторинг Экономической Ситуации в России. Тенденции и Вызовы Социально-Экономического Развития (Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development)

28 Pages Posted: 4 Oct 2015

See all articles by Yuri Bobylev

Yuri Bobylev

Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy; Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration

Alexander Deryugin

Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Institute of Business Studies; Financial Research Institute of the Ministry of Finance of the Russian Federation; Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy

M. Kirillova

Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA)

Michael Khromov

Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy; Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Structural Research Laboratory

Alexander Knobel

Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy; Russian Presidential Academy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Institute of Applied Economic Studies

Kirill Rogov

Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy

Natalia Shagaida

Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Institute of Applied Economic Research; Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy

Pavel Trunin

Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy

Sergey Tsukhlo

Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy

Date Written: January 26, 2015

Abstract

Russian Abstract: Разразившийся в декабре 2014 г. кризис на валютном рынке, а также предпринятые для его преодоления денежными властями и правительством меры (в частности, беспрецедентное повышение ключевой ставки) создали принципиально новую макроэкономическую ситуацию и сформировали основные риски для российской экономики в начале 2015 г. – резкий всплеск инфляции и угрозу банковского кризиса.

English Abstract: December 2014 crisis on the currency market as well as measures taken by the monetary authorities and the government aimed at its overcoming (in particular, unprecedented increase of the key rate) created an entirely new macroeconomic situation and formed main risks for the Russian economy in early 2015: sharp growth of inflation and a threat of the banking crisis.

Note: Downloadable document is in Russian.

Keywords: Russian economy, macroeconomics, finance, real sector, labor market, oil sector

JEL Classification: F34, G24, L 71, C53, E37, L21, L52

Suggested Citation

Bobylev, Yuri and Deryugin, Alexander and Kirillova, M. and Khromov, Michael and Knobel, Alexander and Rogov, Kirill and Shagaida, Natalia and Trunin, Pavel and Tsukhlo, Sergey, Оперативный Мониторинг Экономической Ситуации в России. Тенденции и Вызовы Социально-Экономического Развития (Monitoring of Russia's Economic Outlook. Trends and Challenges of Socio-Economic Development) (January 26, 2015). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2668210 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2668210

Yuri Bobylev (Contact Author)

Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy ( email )

Gazetny pereulok, 3-5
Moscow, 125993
Russia

Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration ( email )

Vernadsky Avenue 82
119571
Russia

Alexander Deryugin

Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Institute of Business Studies ( email )

Vernadskogo ave. 82
Moscow, 119571
Russia
+79166306588 (Phone)

Financial Research Institute of the Ministry of Finance of the Russian Federation ( email )

Nastasyinsky Lane, 3, p. 2
Moscow, 127006
Russia
+79166306588 (Phone)

Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy ( email )

3-5 Gazetny Lane
Moscow, 125009
Russia
+79166306588 (Phone)

M. Kirillova

Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) ( email )

Vernadskogo Prospect 82
Moscow, 119571
Russia

Michael Khromov

Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy ( email )

3-5 Gazetny Lane
Moscow, 125009
Russia

Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Structural Research Laboratory ( email )

Moscow
Russia

Alexander Knobel

Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy ( email )

3-5 Gazetny Lane
Moscow, 125009
Russia

Russian Presidential Academy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Institute of Applied Economic Studies ( email )

Vernadsky Ave. 82
Moscow, 119571
Russia

Kirill Rogov

Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy ( email )

Gazetny Lane 3-5
Moscow, 125993
Russia

Natalia Shagaida

Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA) - Institute of Applied Economic Research ( email )

Russia
+74956292971 (Phone)

Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy ( email )

3-5 Gazetny Lane
Moscow, 125009
Russia

Pavel Trunin

Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy ( email )

Gazetny pereulok, 3-5
Moscow, 125993
Russia

Sergey Tsukhlo

Gaidar Institute for Economic Policy ( email )

3-5 Gazetny Lane
Moscow, 125009
Russia

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