Monetary Policy in Turkey after Central Bank Independence
CFS Working Paper No. 520
33 Pages Posted: 21 Oct 2015
Date Written: August 30, 2015
We present an accessible narrative of the Turkish economy since its great 2001 crisis. We broadly survey economic developments and pay particular attention to monetary policy. The data suggests that the Central Bank of Turkey was a strong inflation targeter early in this period but began to pay less attention to inflation after 2009. Loss of the strong nominal anchor is visible in the break we estimate in Taylor-type rules as well as in asset prices. We also argue that recent discrete jumps in Turkish asset prices, especially the exchange value of the lira, are due more to domestic factors. In the post-2009 period the Central Bank was able to stabilize expectations and asset prices when it chose to do so, but this was the exception rather than the rule.
Keywords: Turkey, CBRT, monetary policy, fiscal policy
JEL Classification: E52, E62, E31, E32, E02
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation