The When and Why of Nominations: Determinants of Presidential Appointments

Forthcoming, American Politics Research

42 Pages Posted: 11 Dec 2015 Last revised: 4 Jan 2016

See all articles by Gary Hollibaugh

Gary Hollibaugh

University of Notre Dame - Department of Political Science

Lawrence S. Rothenberg

University of Rochester - Department of Political Science

Date Written: December 31, 2015

Abstract

Scholars interested in bargaining over political appointments typically analyze the duration between the candidate’s nomination and eventual disposition, ignoring the prior period between vacancy and nomination. Using a dataset of vacancies reported to the Government Accountability Office, we instead examine the nomination stage. We uncover both commonalities and differences between the dynamics of nomination and those of confirmation. Ideological divergence between the President and the Senate filibuster pivot tends to delay nominations, but only under divided government. Presidents move more quickly on more important positions, but are also influenced by the ideological leanings of the agencies.

Keywords: presidential appointments, vacancies, duration models, event history models, Cox models

JEL Classification: D7, D70, D72, D73

Suggested Citation

Hollibaugh, Gary and Rothenberg, Lawrence S., The When and Why of Nominations: Determinants of Presidential Appointments (December 31, 2015). Forthcoming, American Politics Research, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2701573 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2701573

Gary Hollibaugh (Contact Author)

University of Notre Dame - Department of Political Science ( email )

2060 Jenkins Nanovic Halls
Notre Dame, IN 46556
United States

HOME PAGE: http://www.garyhollibaugh.com

Lawrence S. Rothenberg

University of Rochester - Department of Political Science ( email )

Rochester, NY 14627
United States
585-273-4903 (Phone)

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