Explaining and Tackling the Shadow Economy in Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania: A Tax Morale Approach

Baltic Journal of Economics, Vol. 15, No. 2, 2015

Posted: 13 Dec 2015

See all articles by Colin Williams

Colin Williams

University of Sheffield - School of Management

Ioana Alexandra Horodnic

University of Sheffield - School of Management

Date Written: December 12, 2015

Abstract

To explain the shadow economy in the Baltic states of Estonia, Lithuania and Latvia, this paper evaluates the relationship between the shadow economy and tax morale. Viewing tax morale as a measure of the symmetry between the codified laws and regulations of formal institutions (state morality) and the unwritten socially shared rules of informal institutions (civic morality), the proposition is that the lower the tax morale (i.e., the greater the asymmetry between state morality and civic morality), the greater is the likelihood to participate in the shadow economy. To evaluate this, a 2013 survey is reported involving 3,036 face-to-face interviews in these three Baltic nations. Using logistic regression analysis, the finding is that the likelihood of participating in the shadow economy is greater, the lower is the tax morality of individuals, population groups and countries. In addition, the likelihood to participate is shadow economy is found to significantly vary by for example gender, employment status and country, people living in Latvia and Lithuania displaying significantly lower likelihood to engage in the shadow economy. The paper then explores the implications for theorising and tackling the shadow economy.

Keywords: informal economy, undeclared work, tax morale, social contract, institutional analysis, Baltics

JEL Classification: E26, H26, J46, O17

Suggested Citation

Williams, Colin and Horodnic, Ioana Alexandra, Explaining and Tackling the Shadow Economy in Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania: A Tax Morale Approach (December 12, 2015). Baltic Journal of Economics, Vol. 15, No. 2, 2015, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2702739

Colin Williams (Contact Author)

University of Sheffield - School of Management ( email )

15 Conduit Road
Sheffield, S10 1FL
United Kingdom

HOME PAGE: http://https://www.sheffield.ac.uk/management/staff/williams/index

Ioana Alexandra Horodnic

University of Sheffield - School of Management ( email )

Conduit Rd
Sheffield, S10 1FL
United Kingdom

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