Total Returns to Single Family Rentals

57 Pages Posted: 14 Dec 2015 Last revised: 5 Jan 2016

See all articles by Andrea L. Eisfeldt

Andrea L. Eisfeldt

UCLA Anderson School of Management

Andrew Demers

Structured Portfolio Management, LLC

Date Written: December 2015

Abstract

The market value of US Single Family Rental assets is $2.3 trillion, yet we believe that we provide the first systematic analysis of total returns to Single Family Rentals over a long time period, in a broad and granular cross section. Analogous to the dividend yields and capital gains that constitute total equity returns, total returns to single family rentals have two components: rental yields and house price appreciation. It is crucial to account for both total return inputs, both because they contribute approximately equally to returns at the national level, and because they are negatively correlated in the cross section of US cities. While the aggregate US Single Family Rental portfolio has historically benefitted equally from each of the two return components, high price tier cities accrued more capital gains, while low price tier cities had higher net rental yields. As a result, measures of returns that focus on either component individually will be systematically biased in the cross section. Within cities, we show that lower price tier zip codes have higher total returns as a result of both higher yields and higher house price appreciation.

Suggested Citation

Eisfeldt, Andrea L. and Demers, Andrew, Total Returns to Single Family Rentals (December 2015). NBER Working Paper No. w21804. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2703209

Andrea L. Eisfeldt (Contact Author)

UCLA Anderson School of Management ( email )

110 Westwood Plaza
Los Angeles, CA 90095-1481
United States

HOME PAGE: http://https://sites.google.com/site/andrealeisfeldt/

Andrew Demers

Structured Portfolio Management, LLC ( email )

100 Washington Blvd
Stamford, CT 06902
United States

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