Anomaly in Stock-Bond Correlations: The Role of Monetary Policy

25 Pages Posted: 19 Dec 2015

See all articles by Jonas Gusset

Jonas Gusset

University of Basel - Department of Finance

Heinz Zimmermann

University of Basel - Faculty of Business and Economics

Date Written: December 16, 2015

Abstract

The paper estimates constant conditional correlation (CCC) GARCH models to test whether the dramatic changes in stock-bond market correlations can be explained by monetary policy variables such as OIS interest rate shocks or volatility regimes. We find that both specifications are empirically relevant: Correlations decrease after positive monetary shocks (decreasing rates) as well as in times with large central bank activity (high rate volatility regimes).

Keywords: bond-stock correlation, GARCH models, monetary policy

JEL Classification: G15, E44

Suggested Citation

Gusset, Jonas and Zimmermann, Heinz, Anomaly in Stock-Bond Correlations: The Role of Monetary Policy (December 16, 2015). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2704529 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2704529

Jonas Gusset (Contact Author)

University of Basel - Department of Finance ( email )

Peter Merian Weg 6
Basel, 4002
Switzerland

Heinz Zimmermann

University of Basel - Faculty of Business and Economics ( email )

Peter Merian Weg 6
Basel, 4002
Switzerland
+41 61 267 33 16 (Phone)
+41 61 267 08 98 (Fax)

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