Macroeconomic Indicators and Solar Activity Cycles: Mechanism and Facts of Strong Ties (1867-2014 Years)

Chelyabinsk humanities, 2015, №2 (31), pages 17-27

17 Pages Posted: 8 Jan 2016 Last revised: 7 Nov 2017

See all articles by Vladimir Belkin

Vladimir Belkin

Chelyabinsk branch of the Institute of Economics, Ural Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences

Date Written: January 7, 2016

Abstract

The author explains the reasons for the success of his previously published in 2011, the forecast deterioration in global market conditions in 2014. On the basis of statistical data, covering the period up to one and a half centuries, he shows close ties of the solar cycles and economic activity. The author explains the mechanisms to identify their relations on the basis of the achievements of modern heliobiology. In the article was developed another forecast of deterioration in the world economic situation 2023-2024's.

Keywords: The global conjuncture, global product cycles of the world conjuncture, the cycles of the global product cycles of solar activity, forecasting world conjuncture, economic cycles, the index of US GDP, the index of UK GDP, long waves in the economy, inflation long wave, long wave of stagflation, inter

Suggested Citation

Belkin, Vladimir, Macroeconomic Indicators and Solar Activity Cycles: Mechanism and Facts of Strong Ties (1867-2014 Years) (January 7, 2016). Chelyabinsk humanities, 2015, №2 (31), pages 17-27. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2712145 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2712145

Vladimir Belkin (Contact Author)

Chelyabinsk branch of the Institute of Economics, Ural Branch of the Russian Academy of Sciences ( email )

The Russian Federation, 454080, Chelyabinsk, Lenin
Chelyabinsk
Russia

HOME PAGE: http://www.uiec.ru/ob_institute/struktura/filialy/chelyabinskii_filial/

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