Sentiment Risk, Sentiment Timing, and Hedge Fund Returns
61 Pages Posted: 14 Jan 2016
Date Written: January 12, 2016
We examine whether exposure to sentiment risk helps explain the cross-sectional variation in hedge fund returns. We find that funds with sentiment beta in the top decile subsequently outperform those in the bottom decile by 0.67% per month on a risk-adjusted basis. Further, we show that some hedge funds have the ability to time sentiment by having high exposure to a sentiment factor when the factor premium is high, and sentiment timing also contributes to fund performance. Our results are robust to controlling for fund characteristics and other risk factors known to affect hedge fund returns and hold for alternative sentiment risk measures. Overall, these findings highlight sentiment risk as a source of limits to arbitrage faced by hedge funds.
Keywords: Hedge funds, sentiment risk, sentiment timing, alpha, limits to arbitrage
JEL Classification: G23, G11
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation