43 Pages Posted: 19 Jan 2016
Date Written: January 2016
When does the combination of flexible exchange rates and domestic inflation-oriented monetary policy guarantee insulation from global financial conditions? We examine a dynamic global game model of international portfolio flows where, for some combination of parameters, the unique equilibrium exhibits the observed empirical feature that currency appreciation goes hand-in-hand with lower domestic interest rates and higher credit growth. When reversed, tighter monetary conditions go hand-in-hand with capital outflows and currency depreciation.
Keywords: currency appreciation, capital flows, global games
JEL Classification: F32, F33, F34
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation
Plantin, Guillaume and Shin, Hyun Song, Exchange Rates and Monetary Spillovers (January 2016). BIS Working Paper No. 537. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2717690