The Final Countdown: The Effect of Monetary Policy During 'Wait-for-It' and Reversal Periods
40 Pages Posted: 28 Jan 2016
Date Written: 2015-09-01
Abstract
After a long period of loose monetary policy triggered by the Great Recession, some central banks are signaling that they will raise their policy rates soon. Previous research, for example, Bernanke and Kuttner (2005) and Ozdagli (2014), has shown that asset prices react more strongly to monetary policy target surprises on the dates of such a policy reversal announcement. However, we know very little about the channels that generate these effects and whether the cross-sectional differences among firms and sectors play a significant role in transmitting a reversal decision to the economy, a question of primary interest for investors and policymakers.
Keywords: monetary policy, stock prices, liftoff, gradualism, forward guidance
JEL Classification: E44, E52, E58
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation