Climate Change Assessments: Confidence, Probability and Decision
28 Pages Posted: 1 Feb 2016 Last revised: 4 Feb 2016
Date Written: January 28, 2016
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has developed a novel framework for assessing and communicating uncertainty in the findings published in their periodic assessment reports. But how should these uncertainty assessments inform decisions? We take a formal decision-making perspective to investigate how scientific input formulated in the IPCC's novel framework might inform decisions in a principled way through a normative decision model.
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