Discouraged Immigrants and the Missing Pop in EPOP

25 Pages Posted: 1 Feb 2016

See all articles by Peter Norlander

Peter Norlander

Loyola University Chicago, Quinlan School of Business, Department of Management

Todd Sorensen

University of Arizona - Department of Economics

Abstract

We address the impact of declining migration on the measurement of labor market health. We first document an historically significant decline in the growth rate of the U.S. foreign born population since 2000. A decomposition shows that nearly two-thirds of the decline can be attributed to declining pull factors in the U.S. Had this decline not occurred, there would have been approximately 7.2 million more immigrants present in the U.S. in 2013. Making a conservative assumption about the hypothetical likelihood of employment for these "Discouraged Immigrants," a recalculation of the Employment to Population Ratio reveals a 13% larger decline since 2000 than is shown when conventionally measured.

Keywords: employment data, population, international migration

JEL Classification: J21, J61

Suggested Citation

Norlander, Peter and Sorensen, Todd, Discouraged Immigrants and the Missing Pop in EPOP. IZA Discussion Paper No. 9668, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2725029 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2725029

Peter Norlander (Contact Author)

Loyola University Chicago, Quinlan School of Business, Department of Management ( email )

16 East Pearson St
Suite 713
Chicago, IL 60611
United States
312-915-6615 (Phone)

HOME PAGE: http://https://www.luc.edu/quinlan/faculty/peternorlander.shtml

Todd Sorensen

University of Arizona - Department of Economics ( email )

McClelland Hall
Tucson, AZ 85721-0108
United States

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