A Measurement Error Model of Dichotomous Democracy Status

15 Pages Posted: 4 Feb 2016

Date Written: May 20, 2015


We use a Bayesian measurement error model to derive a probabilistic measure of democracy from several existing dichotomous data sets. This approach accepts the premise that democracy may usefully be construed as a bivalent concept for certain theoretical and technical purposes, but it also makes more explicit our collective uncertainty about where some cases fall in that binary scheme. We believe the resulting data provide a firmer foundation than measures of countries' degree of democracy for studies that require a dichotomous measure of regime type.

Keywords: political science, democracy, Bayesian modeling

JEL Classification: P16, C11

Suggested Citation

Taylor, Sean J. and Ulfelder, Jay, A Measurement Error Model of Dichotomous Democracy Status (May 20, 2015). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2726962 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2726962

Sean J. Taylor


No Address Available
United States

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