Raymond Pearl's Review of J M Keynes's A Treatise on Probability: Another Fiasco
17 Pages Posted: 14 Mar 2016
Date Written: March 12, 2016
R. Pearl’s attempt to review J M Keynes’s A Treatise on Probability for Science is only a near fiasco compared with the failed attempt made by Ronald Fisher to review Keynes’s book for the Eugenics Society. It provides the educated reader with minimal value. How this review made it through the referees, associate editors, and editors at the journal, Science, is a mystery worthy of investigation. Again, anyone attempting to read or review Keynes' A Treatise on Probability, without having any knowledge or familiarity of how J M Keynes made use in the A Treatise on Probability of George Boole’s application of his logic to probability in chapters 16-21 of The Laws of Thought (1854), is foolish.
Keywords: Boole, uncertainty, indeterminate, interval valued probability, similarity, dissimilarity
JEL Classification: B10, B12, B20, B22
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation