По пути от XX Кнессета к XXI-му. Дополнительные материалы (Supplementary Materials to 'The Main Israeli Parties Positions on the Key Issues: One Year after the XXth Knesset Elections')

9 Pages Posted: 20 Mar 2016

See all articles by Konstantin Yanovskiy

Konstantin Yanovskiy

Shomron Center for Economic Policy Research

Asya Entov

Ariel University Political Science Department

Ilia Zatcovetsky

Samuel Neaman Institute for Advanced Studies in Science and Technology

Date Written: March 16, 2016

Abstract

Russian Abstract: Дополнительные материалы включают три сюжета. Первый – анализ трех законопроектов по политической реформе, предлагаемый Б.Нетаньяху. Все три рассчитаны на краткосрочную перспективу и сопряжены с определенными рисками. Второй дает несколько объяснений часто наблюдаемому дрейфу израильских политиков "справа налево". Третий объясняет ошибки социологов и политологов в оценке предпочтений избирателей. Последние часто ориентируются на варианты (партии, решения), которые кажутся им наиболее реальными, вероятно реализуемыми. Если в результате шока, непредсказуемости меняется восприятие, оценки реальности опций, выбор избирателя может резко измениться.

English Abstract: Supplemental materials contain three sections. In the first section three bills on political reform are explored. The bills are projected to benefit acting prime minister's leadership and could cause significant damage for his own party and leadership. The second section provides some explanations for phenomena right-to-left shift of elected politicians within his (her) "political lifespan". The last story devoted phenomena of voting for "real option" and explains, how external shocks or endogenous political dynamics could cause voters' perception of the options "reality" with subsequent significant shift in voters' choice even if voters' preference are stable.

Note: Downloadable document is in Russian.

Keywords: political reforms, voters preferences, politicians' choice determinants, real option perception, Политические реформы, факторы политического дрейфа, реальная опция

JEL Classification: D72, D73

Suggested Citation

Yanovskiy, Konstantin (Moshe) and Entov, Asya and Zatcovetsky, Ilia, По пути от XX Кнессета к XXI-му. Дополнительные материалы (Supplementary Materials to 'The Main Israeli Parties Positions on the Key Issues: One Year after the XXth Knesset Elections') (March 16, 2016). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2748569 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2748569

Konstantin (Moshe) Yanovskiy (Contact Author)

Shomron Center for Economic Policy Research ( email )

Kley Shir 8
Karney Shomron, 44855

Asya Entov

Ariel University Political Science Department ( email )

Israel
97297920592 (Phone)

Ilia Zatcovetsky

Samuel Neaman Institute for Advanced Studies in Science and Technology ( email )

Technion, Haifa 32000
Israel

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