Investments in a Combined Energy Network Model: Substitution Between Natural Gas and Electricity?

CER-ETH – Center of Economic Research at ETH Zurich, Working Paper 16/237

30 Pages Posted: 22 Mar 2016

See all articles by Jan Abrell

Jan Abrell

ETH Zürich - Centre for Energy Policy and Economics (CEPE)

Hannes Weigt

WWZ, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät der Universität Basel

Date Written: March 16, 2016

Abstract

Natural gas plays an important role in the future development of electricity markets, as it is the least emission-intensive fossil generation option and additionally provides the needed plant operating flexibility to deal with intermittent renewable generation. As both the electricity and the natural gas market rely on networks, congestion in one market may lead to changes in the other. In addition, investment in one market impacts investment in the other market to the extent that these investments may even become substitutes for each another. The objective of this paper is to develop a dynamic model representation of coupled natural gas and electricity network markets to test the potential interaction with respect to investments. The model is tested under simplified conditions as well as for a stylized European network setting. The results indicate that there is sufficient potential for investment substitution and market interactions that warrant the application of coupled models, especially with regard to simulations of long-term system developments.

Keywords: Electricity network, Natural gas network, Europe, MCP

JEL Classification: L94, L95, C63

Suggested Citation

Abrell, Jan and Weigt, Hannes, Investments in a Combined Energy Network Model: Substitution Between Natural Gas and Electricity? (March 16, 2016). CER-ETH – Center of Economic Research at ETH Zurich, Working Paper 16/237 , Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2752363 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2752363

Jan Abrell (Contact Author)

ETH Zürich - Centre for Energy Policy and Economics (CEPE) ( email )

8092 Zurich
Switzerland

Hannes Weigt

WWZ, Wirtschaftswissenschaftliche Fakultät der Universität Basel ( email )

Basel, 4051
Switzerland

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