An Analysis of the Shifts in the Voter Preferences in 2009 Turkish Local Elections

Economics, Business and Finance, Vol. 25, No. 289, pp. 9-28, 2010

Posted: 3 May 2016

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Date Written: 2010

Abstract

We study 2009 Turkish local elections to examine whether the economic condition was an important factor for the election results. We find that the economic crisis adversely affected Justice and Development Party (AKP) votes in Region 3, which consists of some Southeastern and Eastern provinces, and played no role for the Republican’s People Party (CHP) and the Nationalist Action Party (MHP) votes. Some voters who preferred AKP in 2007 elections switched to MHP in the last elections due to reasons unrelated to the economic factors. In addition, the regional and ethnic factors played significant roles for votes of all three parties. Finally, the data suggest that MHP has the most loyal voter base, and AKP voter base is more loyal than the CHP voter base.

Keywords: 2009 Turkish Local Elections, Voter Behavior, Turkey, Economic Voting

JEL Classification: D72

Suggested Citation

Köksal, Bülent and Civan, Abdulkadir and Genç, Savaş, An Analysis of the Shifts in the Voter Preferences in 2009 Turkish Local Elections (2010). Economics, Business and Finance, Vol. 25, No. 289, pp. 9-28, 2010 . Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2773508

Abdulkadir Civan

Gediz University ( email )

Menemen
Izmir
Turkey

Savaş Genç

Independent ( email )

No Address Available
United States

No contact information is available for Bülent Köksal

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