Does Trade Liberalization with China Influence U.S. Elections?
41 Pages Posted: 4 May 2016
Date Written: 2016-03
This paper examines the impact of trade liberalization on U.S. Congressional elections. We find that U.S. counties subject to greater competition from China via a change in U.S. trade policy exhibit relative increases in turnout, the share of votes cast for Democrats and the probability that the county is represented by a Democrat. We find that these changes are consistent with Democrats in office being more likely than Republicans to support legislation limiting import competition or favoring economic assistance.
Keywords: China, Voting, Elections, Import Competition, Normal Trade Relations, World Trade Organization
JEL Classification: F13, F16, D72
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation