12 Pages Posted: 10 May 2016
Date Written: May 6, 2016
The deseasonalized monthly mean surface temperature time series for Nuuk, Greenland in the 148-year sample period 1866-2013 shows a statistically significant OLS warming trend of 0.1C per decade. Rescaled range analysis of the deseasonalized and detrended residuals reveals a high value of the Hurst exponent indicative of memory, dependence, and persistence in the time series. A robust test for trends described in a previous paper (Munshi, 2015) indicates that the observed OLS trend in the Nuuk data is spurious and therefore possibly an artifact of dependence and persistence.
Keywords: Nuuk, Greenland, Temperature Trends, OLS, Hurst, Robust Test, Dependence, Persistence, Memory, Tritiles, Global Warming, Climate Change, Fossil Fuel Emissions
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