The OLS Warming Trend at Nuuk, Greenland: A Note

12 Pages Posted: 10 May 2016  

Jamal Munshi

Sonoma State University

G. Robin Edwards

Independent

Date Written: May 6, 2016

Abstract

The deseasonalized monthly mean surface temperature time series for Nuuk, Greenland in the 148-year sample period 1866-2013 shows a statistically significant OLS warming trend of 0.1C per decade. Rescaled range analysis of the deseasonalized and detrended residuals reveals a high value of the Hurst exponent indicative of memory, dependence, and persistence in the time series. A robust test for trends described in a previous paper (Munshi, 2015) indicates that the observed OLS trend in the Nuuk data is spurious and therefore possibly an artifact of dependence and persistence.

Keywords: Nuuk, Greenland, Temperature Trends, OLS, Hurst, Robust Test, Dependence, Persistence, Memory, Tritiles, Global Warming, Climate Change, Fossil Fuel Emissions

Suggested Citation

Munshi, Jamal and Edwards, G. Robin, The OLS Warming Trend at Nuuk, Greenland: A Note (May 6, 2016). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2776867 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2776867

Jamal Munshi (Contact Author)

Sonoma State University ( email )

1801 East Cotati Avenue
Rohnert Park, CA 94928
United States

G. Robin Edwards

Independent ( email )

No Address Available

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