Calendar Anomalies in the Ukrainian Stock Market

36 Pages Posted: 20 May 2016

See all articles by Guglielmo Maria Caporale

Guglielmo Maria Caporale

Brunel University London - Department of Economics and Finance; London South Bank University; CESifo (Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute); German Institute for Economic Research (DIW Berlin)

Oleksiy Plastun

Sumy State University

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Date Written: May 02, 2016

Abstract

This paper is a comprehensive investigation of calendar anomalies in the Ukrainian stock market. It employs various statistical techniques (average analysis, Student’s t-test, ANOVA, the Kruskal-Wallis test, and regression analysis with dummy variables) and a trading simulation approach to test for the presence of the following anomalies: Day of the Week Effect; Turn of the Month Effect; Turn of the Year Effect; Month of the Year Effect; January Effect; Holiday Effect; Halloween Effect. The results suggest that in general calendar anomalies are not present in the Ukrainian stock market, but there are a few exceptions, i.e. the Turn of the Year and Halloween Effect for the PFTS index, and the Month of the Year Effect for UX futures. However, the trading simulation analysis shows that only trading strategies based on the Turn of the Year Effect for the PFTS index and the Month of the Year Effect for the UX futures can generate exploitable profit opportunities that can be interpreted as evidence against market efficiency.

Keywords: calendar anomalies, Day of the Week Effect, Turn of the Month Effect, Month of the Year Effect, January Effect, Holiday Effect, Halloween Effect

JEL Classification: G120, C630

Suggested Citation

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria and Plastun, Oleksiy, Calendar Anomalies in the Ukrainian Stock Market (May 02, 2016). CESifo Working Paper Series No. 5877, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2781386

Guglielmo Maria Caporale (Contact Author)

Brunel University London - Department of Economics and Finance ( email )

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HOME PAGE: http://www.brunel.ac.uk/about/acad/bbs/bbsstaff/ef_staff/guglielmocaporale/

London South Bank University ( email )

Centre for Monetary and Financial Economics
London
United Kingdom

CESifo (Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute)

Poschinger Str. 5
Munich, DE-81679
Germany

German Institute for Economic Research (DIW Berlin) ( email )

Mohrenstraße 58
Berlin, 10117
Germany

Oleksiy Plastun

Sumy State University ( email )

Rymskyi-Korsakov str., 2
Sumy, 40000
Ukraine

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