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Winter-Safe Deterrence as a Practical Contribution to Reducing Nuclear Winter Risk: A Reply

Contemporary Security Policy, vol. 36, no. 2 (August), pages 387-397.

9 Pages Posted: 11 Jul 2016  

Seth D. Baum

Global Catastrophic Risk Institute

Date Written: August 25, 2015

Abstract

In a recent issue of this journal, I published an article proposing the concept of winter-safe deterrence. The article defined winter-safe deterrence as “military force capable of meeting the deterrence goals of today’s nuclear weapon states without risking catastrophic nuclear winter”. The article and a summary version published in the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists have since stimulated extensive discussion in social media, the Bulletin, and now a symposium in this journal. The discussion has been productive for refining certain aspects of winter-safe deterrence and getting an initial sense of how the concept may be received. This is exactly what should happen for a new idea with significant policy implications. As a humble author, I welcome the discussion, including the points of criticism. I likewise thank the participants in this symposium for their contributions, as well as the many others who have commented elsewhere on winter-safe deterrence. In this essay, I reply to the contributions to this symposium as part of a broader discussion of winter-safe deterrence and the discussion it has sparked.

Keywords: international security, nuclear weapons, deterrence, risk

Suggested Citation

Baum, Seth D., Winter-Safe Deterrence as a Practical Contribution to Reducing Nuclear Winter Risk: A Reply (August 25, 2015). Contemporary Security Policy, vol. 36, no. 2 (August), pages 387-397.. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2807391

Seth D. Baum (Contact Author)

Global Catastrophic Risk Institute ( email )

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