Exchange Rate, Economic Growth and Foreign Direct Investment in Emerging Asian Economies: Fresh Evidence from Long Run Estimation and Variance Decomposition Approach

Abstract

This paper investigates the potential relationship between exchange rates, economic growth and foreign direct investment (FDI) for emerging Asian economies. We tested a long run relationship through the ARDL bounds testing approach and the robust regression function which incorporated financial development, capital, openness and trade balance as the additional variables of our model. The findings confirm that exchange rate depreciation affects the volume of FDI and promotes growth in the long run. Economic development and inflows are also associated with exchange rates. The causality test also suggested a long run interdependent link between these three macroeconomic factors. The results of the variance decomposition method suggest that the findings are robust and reliable.

Keywords: economic growth, emerging Asian economies, exchange rate, FDI, long run co-integration, variance decomposition