Advances in Factor Replication

29 Pages Posted: 14 Aug 2016 Last revised: 19 Aug 2016

See all articles by Megan Czasonis

Megan Czasonis

State Street Corporate

Mark Kritzman

Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Sloan School of Management

David Turkington

State Street Associates

Date Written: August 12, 2016

Abstract

Factor investing has gained widespread acceptance among institutional investors. Some investors believe it is preferable to stratify the investment universe into factors to manage portfolio risk more effectively, while other investors focus on factors because they believe they yield risk premiums. Factors such as economic variables are not directly investable. Investors, therefore, need to identify a combination of securities that tracks the movements in the economic variable. Other factors, however, are directly investable, such as securities with a certain attribute. Often times, though, investors choose to invest in a subset of the factor securities that are inexpensive to trade. In order to identify the best factor-tracking portfolio, investors must estimate covariances from historical observations whose realizations in the future are prone to several types of estimation error. We introduce a non-parametric procedure to account for estimation error, which enables us to incorporate the relative stability of covariances directly into the factor replication process. We show that adjusting for the stability of covariances in this way produces replicating portfolios that are significantly more reliable than portfolios that are blind to estimation error or formed using Bayesian shrinkage.

Keywords: Bayesian shrinkage, Elliptical distribution, Factor-replicating portfolio Full-scale optimization, Independent-sample error, Interval error, Kinked utility function, Non-parametric, Power utility function, Resampling, Small-sample error, Stability-adjusted return sample, Symmetrical distribution

JEL Classification: C10, C11, C13, C60, C61, G10, G11

Suggested Citation

Czasonis, Megan and Kritzman, Mark and Turkington, David, Advances in Factor Replication (August 12, 2016). MIT Sloan Research Paper No. 5174-16. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2822481 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2822481

Megan Czasonis

State Street Corporate ( email )

1 Lincoln Street
Boston, MA 02111
United States

Mark Kritzman (Contact Author)

Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) - Sloan School of Management ( email )

100 Main Street
E62-416
Cambridge, MA 02142
United States

David Turkington

State Street Associates ( email )

United States

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