The Cybernetic Revolution and Historical Process

Social Evolution & History. Vol. 14 No. 1, March 2015 125–184

Posted: 16 Feb 2018

See all articles by Anton Grinin

Anton Grinin

Volgograd Center for Social Research

Leonid Grinin

National Research University Higher School of Economics; Eurasian Center for Big History & System Forecasting; Volgograd Center for Social Research

Date Written: March 15, 2015

Abstract

The article analyzes the technological shifts which took place in the second half of the twentieth and early twenty-first centuries and predict the main shifts in the next half a century. On the basis of the analysis of the latest achievements in medicine, bio- and nanotechnologies, robotics, ICT and other technological directions and also on the basis of the opportunities provided by the theory of production revolutions the authors present a detailed analysis of the latest production revolution which is denoted as ‘Cybernetic’. There are given some forecasts about its development in the nearest five decades and up to the end of twenty-first century. It is shown that the development of various self-regulating systems will be the main trend of this revolution. The article gives a detailed analysis of the future breakthroughs in medicine, and also in bio- and nanotechnologies in terms of the development of self-regulating systems with their growing ability to select optimal modes of functioning as well as of other characteristics of the Cybernetic Revolution (resources and energy saving, miniaturization, and individualization).

Keywords: Production, Technological Development, Cybernetic Revolution, Self-Regulation

Suggested Citation

Grinin, Anton and Grinin, Leonid, The Cybernetic Revolution and Historical Process (March 15, 2015). Social Evolution & History. Vol. 14 No. 1, March 2015 125–184. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2823473

Anton Grinin

Volgograd Center for Social Research ( email )

Russia, 400079, Volgograd, Bystrove St. 82-53
Volgograd, 400079
Russia

Leonid Grinin (Contact Author)

National Research University Higher School of Economics ( email )

Myasnitskaya street, 20
Moscow, Moscow 119017
Russia

Eurasian Center for Big History & System Forecasting ( email )

Rozhdestvenka 12
Moscow, 107031
Russia

HOME PAGE: http://www.sociostudies.org/ecbsf/

Volgograd Center for Social Research ( email )

Russia, 400079, Volgograd, Kirova street, 143
Volgograd, 400079
Russia

HOME PAGE: http://www.socionauki.ru/authors/grinin_l/

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