Do Director Networks Help Managers Forecast Better?

60 Pages Posted: 16 Aug 2016 Last revised: 16 Aug 2019

Date Written: March 20, 2019

Abstract

I examine whether directors' superior access to information and resources through their board network improves the quality of firms' forecasting. Managers may benefit from well-connected directors (i.e., greater board centrality) as, even though managers have firm specific knowledge, they may have limited insight into the decision-making processes of other firms. Employing a first-difference specification, I find that managers of firms with better-connected directors forecast more accurately. Based on a final sample of 5,576 observations, of U.S.-firms spanning the years 2002 to 2013, I find that a one standard deviation increase in board centrality increases earnings forecast accuracy by 8 percent. More central firms have more accurate one-year ahead predictions of capital expenditures. These firms have smaller absolute positive and negative forecast errors. Cross-sectional analyses indicate that firms with higher advisory demands and firms with a high proportion of advisory directors benefit from well-connected directors. My findings suggest that well-connected directors provide managers with valuable advice, which complements directors' more extensively studied role in preventing managerial expropriation.

Keywords: Management Forecasts, Board Centrality, Corporate Governance

JEL Classification: G3, M41, L14

Suggested Citation

Schabus, Mario, Do Director Networks Help Managers Forecast Better? (March 20, 2019). AAA 2017 Management Accounting Section (MAS) Meeting. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2824070 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2824070

Mario Schabus (Contact Author)

University of Melbourne ( email )

Victoria, 3010
Australia

Register to save articles to
your library

Register

Paper statistics

Downloads
181
Abstract Views
852
rank
170,132
PlumX Metrics