Abstract

https://ssrn.com/abstract=2827551
 


 



Elections, Protest and Trust in Government: A Natural Experiment from Russia


Timothy Frye


Columbia University - Department of Political Science; National Research University Higher School of Economics

Ekaterina Borisova


National Research University Higher School of Economics

2016

BOFIT Discussion Paper No. 9/2016

Abstract:     
How do flawed elections and post-election protest shape political attitudes? Taking advantage of the largely exogenous variation in the timing of a survey conducted in Moscow, we examine the short-term impact of the parliamentary election of December 4th, and the large protest of December 10th on trust in the Russian government. The fraud-marred parliamentary election had little effect on attitudes toward government, perhaps because allegations of vote improprieties were not new information. In contrast, the large protest of December 10th increased trust in government. Heightened trust arises largely from non-supporters of the ruling party updating their beliefs rather than from social desirability bias, a perceived improvement in government performance, or a “halo” effect. This finding is consistent with the view that autocrats can increase trust in government by unexpectedly allowing protest without repression. It also suggests that when evaluating trust in government citizens may cue not off the content of the protest, but off the holding of the protest itself.

Number of Pages in PDF File: 42

Keywords: trust in government, protest, elections, partisanship

JEL Classification: P26, D72


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Date posted: August 25, 2016  

Suggested Citation

Frye, Timothy and Borisova, Ekaterina, Elections, Protest and Trust in Government: A Natural Experiment from Russia (2016). BOFIT Discussion Paper No. 9/2016. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2827551

Contact Information

Timothy Frye (Contact Author)
Columbia University - Department of Political Science ( email )
MC3320
420 West 118th Street
New York, NY 10027
United States
212-854-3646 (Phone)
National Research University Higher School of Economics
Myasnitskaya street, 20
Moscow, Moscow 119017
Russia

Ekaterina Borisova
National Research University Higher School of Economics ( email )
Myasnitskaya street, 20
Moscow, Moscow 119017
Russia

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