Bank Exposures and Sovereign Stress Transmission

66 Pages Posted: 19 Oct 2016

See all articles by Carlo Altavilla

Carlo Altavilla

European Central Bank (ECB)

Marco Pagano

University of Naples Federico II - Department of Economics and Statistics; Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF); Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance (EIEF); Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR); European Corporate Governance Institute (ECGI)

Saverio Simonelli

University of Naples Federico II - Department of Economics and Statistics; Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF)

Multiple version iconThere are 3 versions of this paper

Date Written: October 4, 2016

Abstract

Using novel monthly data for 226 euro-area banks from 2007 to 2015, we investigate the determinants of changes in banks’ sovereign exposures and their effects during and after the euro crisis. First, the publicly owned, recently bailed out and less strongly capitalized banks reacted to sovereign stress by increasing their domestic sovereign holdings more than other banks, suggesting that their choices were affected both by moral suasion and by yield-seeking. Second, their exposures significantly amplified the transmission of risk from the sovereign and its impact on lending. This amplification of the impact on lending does not appear to arise from spurious correlation or reverse causality.

Keywords: sovereign exposures, sovereign risk, credit risk, diabolic loop, euro debt crisis

JEL Classification: E44, F3, G01, G21, H63

Suggested Citation

Altavilla, Carlo and Pagano, Marco and Simonelli, Saverio, Bank Exposures and Sovereign Stress Transmission (October 4, 2016). ECB Working Paper No. 1969. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2854135

Carlo Altavilla (Contact Author)

European Central Bank (ECB) ( email )

Sonnemannstrasse 22
Frankfurt am Main, 60314
Germany

Marco Pagano

University of Naples Federico II - Department of Economics and Statistics ( email )

Via Cintia - Monte S. Angelo
Napoli, 80126
Italy
+39 081 675306 (Phone)
+39 081 7663540 (Fax)

Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF) ( email )

Via Cintia
Complesso Monte S. Angelo
Naples, Naples 80126
Italy

Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance (EIEF)

Via Sallustiana, 62
Rome, 00187
Italy

Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

London
United Kingdom

European Corporate Governance Institute (ECGI)

c/o ECARES ULB CP 114
B-1050 Brussels
Belgium

HOME PAGE: http:/www.ecgi.org

Saverio Simonelli

University of Naples Federico II - Department of Economics and Statistics ( email )

Via Cinthia - Monte S. Angelo
Napoli, Napoli 80126
Italy
0039 081 675366 (Phone)

HOME PAGE: http://www.csef.it/Simonelli

Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF) ( email )

Via Cintia - Monte S. Angelo
Napoli, 80126
Italy

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