How Does Violence Affect Exporters? Evidence from Political Strikes in Bangladesh

45 Pages Posted: 7 Nov 2016 Last revised: 27 Feb 2019

See all articles by Reshad Ahsan

Reshad Ahsan

University of Melbourne

Kazi Iqbal

Bangladesh Institute of Development Studies (BIDS)

Date Written: February 25, 2019

Abstract

Using novel, daily data we examine the impact of political violence on firm-level export activity. Our data cover the universe of political strikes and daily, export transactions in Bangladesh during 2010 to 2013 and allow us to examine the effects of these strikes at a highly granular level. We first show that multi-day political strikes lower the likelihood that a firm will make an export shipment by 6.30 percentage points. We then examine whether these disruptions result in adverse effects on export prices. Given that this violence creates greater risk of missed shipments, importers may respond by demanding lower prices. We provide the first evidence of such adverse price effects of political violence. Our results suggest that during July to December, 2013, when there was a multi-day political strike every five days, the prices of time-sensitive Bangladeshi products declined by 1.59 percent.

Keywords: Exports, Political Violence, Garments

JEL Classification: F14, D74, O14

Suggested Citation

Ahsan, Reshad and Iqbal, Kazi, How Does Violence Affect Exporters? Evidence from Political Strikes in Bangladesh (February 25, 2019). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2865272 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2865272

Reshad Ahsan (Contact Author)

University of Melbourne ( email )

Melbourne, 3010
Australia

HOME PAGE: http://https://sites.google.com/site/reshadahsan/home

Kazi Iqbal

Bangladesh Institute of Development Studies (BIDS)

E-17, Agargao, Shere Bangla Nagar
Dhaka, 1207
Bangladesh

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