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Good Cop, Bad Cop: An Analysis of Chicago Civilian Allegations of Police Misconduct

47 Pages Posted: 10 Nov 2016 Last revised: 13 Nov 2017

Date Written: November 28, 2016

Abstract

In response to high-profile cases of police misconduct, reformers are calling for greater use of civilian allegations in identifying potential problem officers. However, there is little empirical evidence that civilian allegations predict misconduct. Using data on civilian allegations in Chicago, we construct a risk-adjusted, empirical Bayes estimate of civilian allegations and test its power to predict serious future misconduct as measured by civil rights litigation. We find a strong non-linear relationship between the Bayes estimates of allegations and future civil rights litigation, suggesting that intervention efforts could be fruitfully concentrated among a relatively small group of officers.

Keywords: Policing, Personnel Economics, Police Misconduct, Civil Rights, Civil Rights Litigation, Public Finance

JEL Classification: H11, H75, H76, J4, K14, K42, M12, K10

Suggested Citation

Rozema, Kyle and Schanzenbach, Max M., Good Cop, Bad Cop: An Analysis of Chicago Civilian Allegations of Police Misconduct (November 28, 2016). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2866696 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2866696

Kyle Rozema

University of Chicago - Law School ( email )

1111 E. 60th St.
Chicago, IL 60637
United States

HOME PAGE: http://www.kylerozema.com

Max Schanzenbach (Contact Author)

Northwestern University - Pritzker School of Law ( email )

375 E. Chicago Ave
Chicago, IL 60611
United States

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