Good Cop, Bad Cop: An Analysis of Chicago Civilian Allegations of Police Misconduct
47 Pages Posted: 10 Nov 2016 Last revised: 7 Jan 2018
Date Written: November 28, 2016
In response to high-profile cases of police misconduct, reformers are calling for greater use of civilian allegations in identifying potential problem officers. However, there is little empirical evidence that civilian allegations predict misconduct. Using data on civilian allegations in Chicago, we construct a risk-adjusted, empirical Bayes estimate of civilian allegations and test its power to predict serious future misconduct as measured by civil rights litigation. We find a strong non-linear relationship between the Bayes estimates of allegations and future civil rights litigation, suggesting that intervention efforts could be fruitfully concentrated among a relatively small group of officers.
Keywords: Policing, Personnel Economics, Police Misconduct, Civil Rights, Civil Rights Litigation, Public Finance
JEL Classification: H11, H75, H76, J4, K14, K42, M12, K10
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation