Keynesian, Non-Keynesian or No Effects of Fiscal Policy Changes? The Emu Case

26 Pages Posted: 23 Oct 2001

See all articles by Bas Van Aarle

Bas Van Aarle

Leuven Centre for Irish Studies LCIS; CESifo (Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute); Radboud University Nijmegen - Department of Economics

Harry Garretsen

Utrecht University - School of Economics; CESifo (Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute); Radboud University Nijmegen - Department of Economics

Date Written: October 2001

Abstract

This paper studies the experiences with fiscal adjustments in the European Union (EU) countries during the transition period to the Economic and Monetary Union (EMU). Using several approaches suggested in the literature on fiscal adjustments and their macroeconomic effects and in the literature on EMU, we analyze the effects of the fiscal adjustments during this period on private consumption. Thereby, we also take the specific context of the transition towards EMU explicitly into consideration. At best mixed evidence for the presence of non-linearities in the relation between fiscal adjustments and private spending is obtained. There is no clear-cut evidence for the hypothesis of "expansionary fiscal contractions" which may have alleviated the burden from fiscal consolidation in the EMU case. The sensitivity of the results for a number of factors is also checked.

Keywords: Fiscal Retrenchment, EMU

JEL Classification: E32, F43

Suggested Citation

van Aarle, Bas and Garretsen, Harry, Keynesian, Non-Keynesian or No Effects of Fiscal Policy Changes? The Emu Case (October 2001). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=287113

Bas Van Aarle

Leuven Centre for Irish Studies LCIS ( email )

Janseniusstraat 1
Leuven, 3000
Belgium
+32 16 310433 (Phone)
+32 16 310431 (Fax)

CESifo (Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute)

Poschinger Str. 5
Munich, DE-81679
Germany

HOME PAGE: http://www.cesifo.de

Radboud University Nijmegen - Department of Economics ( email )

P.O.Box 9108
6500 HK Nijmegen
Netherlands
+31 24 3616172 (Phone)
+31 24 3611846 (Fax)

Harry Garretsen (Contact Author)

Utrecht University - School of Economics ( email )

Kriekenpitplein 21-22
Adam Smith Building
Utrecht, 3584 EC
Netherlands
+31 0 30 253 9810 (Phone)

CESifo (Center for Economic Studies and Ifo Institute)

Poschinger Str. 5
Munich, DE-81679
Germany

HOME PAGE: http://www.cesifo.de

Radboud University Nijmegen - Department of Economics ( email )

Nijmegen, 6500 HK
Netherlands
+31 24 361 5889 (Phone)
+31 24 361 1846 (Fax)

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