Is Financial Fragility a Matter of Illiquidity? An Appraisal for Italian Households

22 Pages Posted: 23 Nov 2016

See all articles by Marianna Brunetti

Marianna Brunetti

Dept. Economics and Finance, University of Rome Tor Vergata; CEFIN

Elena Giarda

Dipartimento di Analisi e Ricerca Economica, Prometeia; Università degli studi di Modena e Reggio Emilia (UNIMORE) - Center for Research in Banking and Finance (CEFIN); Fondazione Rodolfo Debenedetti

Costanza Torricelli

University of Modena and Reggio Emilia - Department of Economics; Università degli studi di Modena e Reggio Emilia (UNIMORE) - Center for Research in Banking and Finance (CEFIN); Center for Research on Pensions and Welfare Policies (CeRP)

Multiple version iconThere are 3 versions of this paper

Date Written: December 2016

Abstract

We investigate household financial fragility in Italy, providing three main contributions. First, we propose a novel characterization of financial fragility that is not necessarily linked to indebtedness, distinguishes between expected and unexpected expenses, takes portfolio composition into account, and is free of subjectivity bias. Second, we use it to assess the importance of household portfolio composition for determining the difficulties related to coping with unexpected expenditures, besides socio‐economic and demographic factors. Third, we test its ability to forecast future conditions of financial distress. The empirical analysis is based on the Bank of Italy Survey on Household Income and Wealth. The results highlight the relevance of portfolio choices as determinants of financial distress, that is, they provide evidence that homeownership increases the likelihood of financial fragility while the presence of a mortgage decreases it. Moreover our measure is shown to act as an early warning indicator of distress.

Keywords: bivariate probit, financial fragility, household portfolio, housing, liquid assets

JEL Classification: C25, D12, D14

Suggested Citation

Brunetti, Marianna and Giarda, Elena and Torricelli, Costanza, Is Financial Fragility a Matter of Illiquidity? An Appraisal for Italian Households (December 2016). Review of Income and Wealth, Vol. 62, Issue 4, pp. 628-649, 2016. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2874575 or http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/roiw.12189

Marianna Brunetti (Contact Author)

Dept. Economics and Finance, University of Rome Tor Vergata ( email )

Via Columbia, 2
Rome, Lazio 00133
Italy

HOME PAGE: http://economia.uniroma2.it/en/def/faculty/178/brunetti-marianna

CEFIN ( email )

via Berengario 51
Modena, modena I-41100
Italy

Elena Giarda

Dipartimento di Analisi e Ricerca Economica, Prometeia ( email )

Via G. Marconi 43
Bologna, 40122
Italy
+390516480911 (Phone)
+39051220753 (Fax)

HOME PAGE: http://https://www.prometeia.it/en/research-insights

Università degli studi di Modena e Reggio Emilia (UNIMORE) - Center for Research in Banking and Finance (CEFIN) ( email )

via Berengario 51
Modena, modena I-41100
Italy

Fondazione Rodolfo Debenedetti ( email )

Via Roentgen 1,
Room 5.C1-11
Milan, Milano 20136
Italy

Costanza Torricelli

University of Modena and Reggio Emilia - Department of Economics ( email )

Viale Berengario 51
41100 Modena, Modena 41100
Italy
+390592056733 (Phone)
+390592056937 (Fax)

HOME PAGE: http://www.economia.unimore.it/torricelli_costanza/index.htm

Università degli studi di Modena e Reggio Emilia (UNIMORE) - Center for Research in Banking and Finance (CEFIN) ( email )

via Berengario 51
Modena, modena I-41100
Italy

Center for Research on Pensions and Welfare Policies (CeRP) ( email )

Via Real Collegio, 30
Moncalieri, Turin 10024
Italy

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