The US Elections and Impact on Financial Markets with Zoom on Central Africa

11 Pages Posted: 4 Feb 2017

See all articles by Professor Kelly Kingsly

Professor Kelly Kingsly

Independent; Regional Advisory Commision on Financial Markets; Harvard University, Harvard Kennedy School (HKS), Students; Copperstone University ; Charisma university; University of Yaounde II ; Harvard kennedy school

Date Written: November 26, 2016

Abstract

Elections generate worldwide attention in the major economies around the world and there is no exception when considering the world's largest economy, the United States. Trends in US election year and years after the election show that a pattern of market reaction, socio-economic predictions and trade policies are issues before and after the election and before inauguration of the new President this led to development of Presidential Election Cycle theory to explain this pattern. Qualitative research design is adopted and the paper relies on secondary data for analysis. One of the finding of this study indicated that performance during the first year in Presidential Election Cycle for democrat and weak for Republican. The last year in the cycle (an election year) has been relatively unpredictable. The DOW performance sum up the investors’ behaviors, that is very uneasy in election years, and in the days and weeks leading up to Election Day, there can be some price movement.

Suggested Citation

Kingsly, Professor kelly and Kingsly, Professor kelly and Kingsly, Professor kelly, The US Elections and Impact on Financial Markets with Zoom on Central Africa (November 26, 2016). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2875967 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2875967

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