Costs of Capital under Credit Risk

Abstract

Credit risk analysis represents a growing field in financial research since decades. However, in cost of capital computations, credit risk is merely taken into consideration at the level of the debt beta approach. Our paper proves that applications of the debt beta approach suffer from unrealistic assumptions. As an advantageous approach, we develop an alternative framework to determine costs of capital based on Merton’s model. We present (quasi-) analytic formulas for costs of equity and debt which are consistent with Modigliani-Miller theory in continuous-time and discrete-time settings without taxes. Our framework is superior to the debt beta approach regarding the quantity and quality of required data in peer group analysis. Since equity and debt are represented by options in Merton’s model, we compute expected option rates of return. Thereby, our paper is also related to the recently growing literature on expected option returns.

Keywords: Company Valuation, Debt Beta, Merton's Model, WACC

JEL Classification: G13, G32, G33