Does Carbon Risk Matter in Firm Dividend Policy? Evidence from a Quasi-natural Experiment in an Imputation Environment

54 Pages Posted: 22 Jan 2017 Last revised: 11 Apr 2019

See all articles by Balasingham Balachandran

Balasingham Balachandran

La Trobe University - School of Economics and Finance; Financial Research Network (FIRN)

Justin Hung Nguyen

Victoria University of Wellington - Victoria Business School

Date Written: September 22, 2018

Abstract

We examine the role of carbon risk in dividend policy, and how its effect varies between imputation (paying franked dividends) and classical (paying unfranked dividends) tax environments in the unique experimental setting in Australia. We find that the probability of paying dividend and dividend payout ratio is lower for firms in the highest-emitting industries (polluters) relative to non-polluters, subsequent to ratification of the Kyoto Protocol. While the post-Kyoto reduction in the likelihood of paying dividend is not significantly different, the reduction in payout ratio is smaller in the imputation environment than classical tax system, highlighting the significance of imputation tax environment only on the impact of carbon risk on dividend payout rather than decision to pay. We further document that the post-Kyoto reduction in dividend payout of polluters is driven by their relative increase in earnings uncertainty. The evidence suggests a causal influence of carbon risk on firm dividend policy.

Keywords: Dividend policy; Earnings uncertainty; Carbon risk; Imputation tax system; Franked dividend

JEL Classification: G35, Q51, Q58

Suggested Citation

Balachandran, Balasingham and Nguyen, Justin Hung, Does Carbon Risk Matter in Firm Dividend Policy? Evidence from a Quasi-natural Experiment in an Imputation Environment (September 22, 2018). Journal of Banking and Finance, Vol. 96, 2018. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2902464

Balasingham Balachandran

La Trobe University - School of Economics and Finance ( email )

La Trobe University
Bundoora, Vic, 3086
Australia

Financial Research Network (FIRN)

C/- University of Queensland Business School
St Lucia, 4071 Brisbane
Queensland
Australia

HOME PAGE: http://www.firn.org.au

Justin Hung Nguyen (Contact Author)

Victoria University of Wellington - Victoria Business School ( email )

23 Lambton Quay
Pipitea
Wellington, 6011
New Zealand

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