Economic Dynamics of Territorial Military Conflicts: The Case of Kashmir

Posted: 3 Feb 2017

See all articles by Mario Arturo Ruiz Estrada

Mario Arturo Ruiz Estrada

University of Malaya (UM) - Faculty of Economics & Administration (FEA)

Evangelos Koutronas

Universiti Sains Malaysia

Baskaran Angathevar

University of Malaya (UM) - Faculty of Economics & Administration (FEA)

Alam Khan

University of Malaya (UM) - Faculty of Economics & Administration (FEA)

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Date Written: February 1, 2017

Abstract

This paper intends to establish conceptual foundations of analyzing the economic dimensions of warfare. The Post-War Final Economic Damage Simulator (PFEDS) attempts to estimate the heterogeneous macroeconomic effects of a potential military conflict. The model suggests nine different indicators: (i) the territorial dispute tension, ∆T; (ii) the territorial dispute strategy, Sn; (iii) warfare dimension, Ak; (iv) warfare losses, -π, (v) warfare economic leaking, -Ψ, (vi) warfare economic desgrowth, -δw; (vii) the post-war economic damage, -Π; (viii) the post-war reconstruction plan, Rt; (ix) and the Mega-Disk Networks Analysis. The model investigates the territorial dispute between India and Pakistan (1946-2016) about Kashmir.

Keywords: India, Pakistan, War, Economic Modeling, Economic Desgrowth

JEL Classification: R11, R12

Suggested Citation

Ruiz Estrada, Mario Arturo and Koutronas, Evangelos and Angathevar, Baskaran and Khan, Alam, Economic Dynamics of Territorial Military Conflicts: The Case of Kashmir (February 1, 2017). Military Strategy Journal (Forthcoming); Universidad Icesi School of Management and Economics Research Paper No. 2910162. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2910162

Mario Arturo Ruiz Estrada (Contact Author)

University of Malaya (UM) - Faculty of Economics & Administration (FEA) ( email )

Kuala Lumpur, 50603
Malaysia
+60126850293 (Phone)

HOME PAGE: http://ssrc.um.edu.my/

Evangelos Koutronas

Universiti Sains Malaysia ( email )

Minden, Penang
Malaysia

Baskaran Angathevar

University of Malaya (UM) - Faculty of Economics & Administration (FEA) ( email )

University of Malaya
Kuala Lumpur, Wilayah Persekutuan 50603
Malaysia

Alam Khan

University of Malaya (UM) - Faculty of Economics & Administration (FEA) ( email )

University of Malaya
Kuala Lumpur, Wilayah Persekutuan 50603
Malaysia

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