The Impact of Jumps on Carry Trade Returns

58 Pages Posted: 16 Feb 2017  

Suzanne S. Lee

Georgia Institute of Technology - Finance Area

Minho Wang

Georgia Institute of Technology - Finance Area

Date Written: February 15, 2017

Abstract

This paper investigates how jump risks are priced in currency markets. We find that currencies whose changes are more sensitive to negative market jumps provide significantly higher expected returns. The positive risk premium constitutes compensation for the extreme losses during periods of market turmoil. Using the empirical findings, we propose a jump modified carry trade strategy, which has approximately 2-percentage-point (per annum) higher returns than the regular carry trade strategy. These findings result from the fact that negative jump betas are significantly related to the riskiness of currencies and business conditions.

Keywords: jump beta, jump modified carry trade, foreign exchange rate, carry trade

JEL Classification: G15

Suggested Citation

Lee, Suzanne S. and Wang, Minho, The Impact of Jumps on Carry Trade Returns (February 15, 2017). Georgia Tech Scheller College of Business Research Paper No. 17-11. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2917694 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2917694

Suzanne S. Lee

Georgia Institute of Technology - Finance Area ( email )

800 West Peachtree Street NW
Atlanta, GA 30332
United States

Minho Wang (Contact Author)

Georgia Institute of Technology - Finance Area ( email )

800 West Peachtree NW
Atlanta, GA 30308
United States

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