76 Pages Posted: 23 Feb 2017 Last revised: 19 Mar 2017
Date Written: March 18, 2017
We use administrative income tax data coupled with survey responses from roughly five thousand households living near the federal poverty line (FPL) to estimate the effect of health insurance coverage on rent and mortgage delinquency. Our identification strategy centers on states that did not expand Medicaid as part of the Affordable Care Act (ACA). We employ a fuzzy regression discontinuity (RD) design, exploiting the income eligibility threshold to receive Marketplace subsidies in those states (100% FPL) as our source of exogenous variation in insurance coverage. Marketplace subsidies result in about an 11 percentage point increase in the prevalence of private health insurance. Households with private insurance are 41-63 percentage points less likely to be delinquent on home payments as compared to similar uninsured households. Consistent with health insurance protecting household liquidity against health shocks, medical spending is a smaller share of liquid assets for insured households that experience a health shock.
Keywords: Regression discontinuity, Affordable Care Act, Obamacare, exchanges, bankruptcy, LMI households, Medicaid, coverage gap
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation
Gallagher, Emily and Gopalan, Radhakrishnan and Grinstein-Weiss, Michal, The Effect of Health Insurance on Home Payment Delinquency: Evidence from ACA Marketplace Subsidies (March 18, 2017). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2922260 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2922260