Women's Age at First Marriage and Marital Instability in the United States: Differences by Race and Ethnicity

28 Pages Posted: 26 Mar 2017

See all articles by Evelyn L. Lehrer

Evelyn L. Lehrer

University of Illinois at Chicago - Department of Economics; IZA Institute of Labor Economics

Yeon Son

University of Illinois at Chicago

Abstract

The age at which women enter first marriage is known to be a major factor in marital instability. But to date possible differences by race/ethnicity have not been examined. We use data from the 2006-2010 National Survey of Family Growth to examine differences by race/ethnicity in the shape of the curve relating women's age at entry into first marriage to marital instability. We find that for non-Hispanic white women, the probability of dissolution falls with age up to ages 30-32 and thereafter the curve flattens out. For black women, marital instability decreases with age only up to ages 24-26. For Hispanic women, marital instability falls from age ≤20 to 21-23 and then the curve flattens out; beyond ages 30-32 the curve turns upward.We suggest explanations for these patterns based in part on differentials in the associations of age at marriage with education and non-marital fertility. For white women, but not for their black and Hispanic counterparts, delayed entry into marriage is associated with a small increase in non-marital fertility and a pronounced increase in education. The common practice in the demographic literature in the U.S. of conducting pooled analyses – with simple controls for black, Hispanic, and other – can lead to misleading conclusions. Our findings underscore the desirability of conducting separate analyses by race/ethnicity wherever possible.

Keywords: divorce, marital dissolution, marital instability, family structure, race/ethnicity

JEL Classification: J12

Suggested Citation

Lehrer, Evelyn L. and Son, Yeon, Women's Age at First Marriage and Marital Instability in the United States: Differences by Race and Ethnicity. IZA Discussion Paper No. 10629. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2940619

Evelyn L. Lehrer (Contact Author)

University of Illinois at Chicago - Department of Economics ( email )

725 University Hall (UH)
Chicago, IL 60607-7121
United States

IZA Institute of Labor Economics

P.O. Box 7240
Bonn, D-53072
Germany

Yeon Son

University of Illinois at Chicago

1200 W Harrison St
Chicago, IL 60607
United States

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