Economic News Releases and Financial Markets in South Africa
Economies, 2019
Posted: 3 Apr 2017 Last revised: 4 Nov 2019
Date Written: June 20, 2016
Abstract
We examine the impact of economic news releases on returns, volatility and jumps of the stock and foreign exchange markets of South Africa. We also assess the impact of macroeconomic determinants. The dataset range is fifteen years covering the period from January, 2000 to December, 2014. Results are robust to different sub-periods before and after the global financial crisis of 2008. Volatility is estimated with the use of the median realized variance estimator (Andersen et al., 2012). Jumps are detected and estimated as in Duong and Swanson (2015). The impact of the announcements is assessed building on the study by Huang et al. (2015). Returns, volatility and jumps of both stock and foreign exchange markets are significantly explained nationally by macroeconomic fundamentals and economic news releases.
Keywords: South Africa, Economic news, Macrofundamentals
JEL Classification: G15, G18, F38
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation