21 Pages Posted: 5 Apr 2017
Date Written: March 31, 2017
This article presents a model wherein law enforcers propose sentences to maximize their likelihood of reelection, and shows that elections typically generate over-incarceration, i.e., longer than optimal sentences. It then studies the effects of disenfranchisement laws, which prohibit convicted felons from voting. The removal of ex-convicts from the pool of eligible voters reduces the pressure politicians may otherwise face to protect the interests of this group, and thereby causes the political process to push the sentences for criminal offenses upwards. Therefore, disenfranchisement further widens the gap between the optimal sentence and the equilibrium sentence, and thereby exacerbates the problem of over-incarceration. Moreover, this result is valid even when voter turnout is negatively correlated with people's criminal tendencies, i.e., when criminals vote less frequently than non-criminals.
Keywords: Disenfranchisement; over-incarceration; mass incarceration; imprisonment; crime and deterrence; representative voter theorem
JEL Classification: D70, D72, K00, K14, K42, P48
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation
Mungan, Murat C., Over-Incarceration and Disenfranchisement (March 31, 2017). Public Choice, Forthcoming; George Mason Law & Economics Research Paper No. 16-43. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2946457