Will Economic Partnership Agreements Increase Poverty? The Case of Uganda

30 Pages Posted: 7 Apr 2017

See all articles by Ole Boysen

Ole Boysen

Institute for International Integration Studies; Trinity College Dublin - Department of Economics

Alan Matthews

Trinity College (Dublin) - Department of Economics

Date Written: May 2017

Abstract

Economic Partnership Agreements (EPAs) between the EU and African Caribbean and Pacific countries are frequently criticized because of fears about negative implications for economic development. Using Uganda as a case study, this paper employs an integrated computable general equilibrium‐microsimulation model framework rich in household‐level detail to assess the consequences of the East African Community EPA for economic output and poverty in Uganda. Simulations of the agreement's tariff liberalization provisions indicate a very small negative economic impact and ambiguous outcomes for poverty. The poverty results depend in size and sign on the poverty line, on the way the government addresses tariff revenue losses and on labor market assumptions.

Suggested Citation

Boysen, Ole and Matthews, Alan, Will Economic Partnership Agreements Increase Poverty? The Case of Uganda (May 2017). Review of Development Economics, Vol. 21, Issue 2, pp. 353-382, 2017, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2947363 or http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/rode.12272

Ole Boysen (Contact Author)

Institute for International Integration Studies ( email )

The Sutherland Centre, Level 6, Arts Building
Trinity College
Dublin 2
Ireland

Trinity College Dublin - Department of Economics ( email )

Dublin 2
Ireland

Alan Matthews

Trinity College (Dublin) - Department of Economics ( email )

Dublin 2
Ireland
+00353 1 896 1069 (Phone)
+00353 1 677 2503 (Fax)

HOME PAGE: http://www.tcd.ie/Economics/staff/amtthews/index.htm

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