Kentucky's Labor Market Recovery after the Great Recession

Mercatus Research, Mercatus Center at George Mason University, Arlington, VA, 2017

34 Pages Posted: 20 Apr 2017

See all articles by Adam Millsap

Adam Millsap

Florida State University - Department of Economics; George Mason University - Mercatus Center

Matt Crumb

George Mason University, Department of Economics, Students

J. Patrick Higgins

George Mason University, Department of Economics, Students

Date Written: April 17, 2017

Abstract

The Great Recession negatively impacted all US states, but there was substantial heterogeneity across the country. This study reveals some of this heterogeneity by examining what happened to the labor market in Kentucky and its seven border states, then in Kentucky’s metropolitan statistical areas (MSAs), and finally within the Louisville–Jefferson County MSA, which includes counties in Kentucky and Indiana. We find that Kentucky’s labor force remained below its prerecession level as of September 2015 while the state’s private employment exceeded its prerecession level. Of the states studied, only Indiana and Virginia completely recovered by September 2015 according to both measures. Business starts within Kentucky have also recovered and, along with Missouri, Kentucky stands out as having a stronger entrepreneurial environment postrecession than prerecession. A deeper dive into Kentucky’s MSAs provides evidence that the urban areas of Kentucky experienced stronger recoveries than the rural areas, and that the recoveries of the Kentucky counties within the Louisville–Jefferson County MSA were slightly stronger than the recoveries of the Indiana counties, on average.

Keywords: Labor Market Data, Labor Force, Regional Growth, State Government

JEL Classification: J200, J210, R110, H700

Suggested Citation

Millsap, Adam and Crumb, Matt and Higgins, J. Patrick, Kentucky's Labor Market Recovery after the Great Recession (April 17, 2017). Mercatus Research, Mercatus Center at George Mason University, Arlington, VA, 2017. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2954706 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2954706

Adam Millsap (Contact Author)

Florida State University - Department of Economics ( email )

288 Bellamy Building
Tallahassee, FL 30306-2180
United States

George Mason University - Mercatus Center ( email )

3434 Washington Blvd., 4th Floor
Arlington, VA 22201
United States

Matt Crumb

George Mason University, Department of Economics, Students

Fairfax, VA
United States

J. Patrick Higgins

George Mason University, Department of Economics, Students

Fairfax, VA
United States

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