The Correlation between Emissions and Warming in the CET

15 Pages Posted: 24 Apr 2017

Date Written: April 21, 2017


A comprehensive detrended correlation analysis of the daily mean Central England Temperature (CET) series for each calendar month against fossil fuel emissions for the 245-year study period 1772-2016 is presented. Time scales of 10, 20, and 30 years were tried each at four different time spans ranging from 60 to 245 years at all possible locations within the overall study period. The results do not show a relationship between emissions and warming that can be interpreted in terms of the theory of anthropogenic global warming and climate change (AGW). The finding is inconsistent with the proposition that warming in the CET data can be related to emissions.

Keywords: global warming, climate change, station temperature data, trend analysis, trend profile, CET, numerical methods, OLS assumptions, AGW, anthropogenic global warming, fossil fuel emissions, warming and emissions

Suggested Citation

Munshi, Jamal, The Correlation between Emissions and Warming in the CET (April 21, 2017). Available at SSRN: or

Jamal Munshi (Contact Author)

Sonoma State University ( email )

1801 East Cotati Avenue
Rohnert Park, CA 94928
United States

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