Estimation of the Discontinuous Leverage Effect: Evidence from the NASDAQ Order Book

42 Pages Posted: 28 Apr 2017 Last revised: 5 Jan 2019

See all articles by Markus Bibinger

Markus Bibinger

University of Mannheim

Christopher J. Neely

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - Research Division

Lars Winkelmann

Free University of Berlin (FUB)

Date Written: 2017-04-26

Abstract

An extensive empirical literature documents a generally negative correlation, named the “leverage effect,” between asset returns and changes of volatility. It is more challenging to establish such a return-volatility relationship for jumps in high-frequency data. We propose new nonparametric methods to assess and test for a discontinuous leverage effect — i.e. a relation between contemporaneous jumps in prices and volatility — in high-frequency data with market microstructure noise. We present local tests and estimators for price jumps and volatility jumps. Five years of transaction data from 320 NASDAQ firms display no negative relation between price and volatility cojumps. We show, however, that there is a strong relation between price-volatility cojumps if one conditions on the sign of price jumps and whether the price jumps are market-wide or idiosyncratic.

Keywords: High-frequency data, market microstructure, news impact, market-wide jumps, price jump, volatility jump.

JEL Classification: C14, C22, G1

Suggested Citation

Bibinger, Markus and Neely, Christopher J. and Winkelmann, Lars, Estimation of the Discontinuous Leverage Effect: Evidence from the NASDAQ Order Book (2017-04-26). FRB St. Louis Working Paper No. 2017-12, Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2959281 or http://dx.doi.org/10.20955/wp.2017.012

Markus Bibinger (Contact Author)

University of Mannheim ( email )

Mannheim, 68131
Germany

Christopher J. Neely

Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis - Research Division ( email )

411 Locust St
Saint Louis, MO 63011
United States
314-444-8568 (Phone)
314-444-8731 (Fax)

HOME PAGE: http://www.stls.frb.org/research/econ/cneely/

Lars Winkelmann

Free University of Berlin (FUB) ( email )

Van't-Hoff-Str. 8
Berlin, Berlin 14195
Germany

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