Dismantling the 'Jungle': Migrant Relocation and Extreme Voting in France

37 Pages Posted: 6 May 2017 Last revised: 16 Sep 2021

See all articles by Paul Vertier

Paul Vertier

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Max Viskanic

Department of Economics, Sciences Po-CNRS

Matteo Gamalerio

University of Barcelona - Institut d'Economia de Barcelona (IEB)

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Date Written: September 15, 2021

Abstract

Large migrant inflows have spurred anti-immigrant sentiment, but can small inflows have a different impact? We exploit the redistribution of migrants after the dismantling of the \Calais Jungle" in France to study the impact of the exposure to few migrants, which we estimate using difference-in-differences and instrumental variables. We find that in the presence of a migrant center (CAO), the growth rate of vote shares for the main far-right party (Front National (FN), our proxy for anti-immigrant sentiment) between 2012 and 2017 is reduced by about 12 percentage points. This effect, which crucially depends on the inflow’s size, points towards the contact hypothesis (Allport, 1954).

Keywords: Political Economy; Voting; Migration; EU; France; Migrants

JEL Classification: C36, D72, J15, P16, R23

Suggested Citation

Vertier, Paul and Viskanic, Max and Gamalerio, Matteo, Dismantling the 'Jungle': Migrant Relocation and Extreme Voting in France (September 15, 2021). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2963641 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2963641

Paul Vertier (Contact Author)

affiliation not provided to SSRN

Max Viskanic

Department of Economics, Sciences Po-CNRS ( email )

28 rue des saints peres
Paris, 75007
France

HOME PAGE: http://maxviskanic.com

Matteo Gamalerio

University of Barcelona - Institut d'Economia de Barcelona (IEB) ( email )

c/ Tinent Coronel Valenzuela, 1-11
Barcelona, 08034
Spain

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