Price and Probability: Decomposing the Takeover Effects of Anti-Takeover Provisions

63 Pages Posted: 22 May 2017

See all articles by Vicente Cuñat

Vicente Cuñat

London School of Economics & Political Science (LSE) - Financial Markets Group

Mireia Gine

IESE Business School, University of Navarra ; The University of Pennsylvania

Maria Guadalupe

INSEAD - Economics and Political Sciences; Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR); Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)

Multiple version iconThere are 2 versions of this paper

Date Written: May 2017

Abstract

We study the causal effects of anti-takeover provisions on takeovers. We decompose their effect on prices, takeover likelihood and target selection and explore the channels through which they change shareholders' value. We provide causal estimates based on shareholder proposals and deal with the endogenous selection of targets through bounding techniques. Voting to remove an anti-takeover provision increases the annual takeover probability by 0.9% and increases premiums by 2.8%. The premium effect is driven by more related acquisitions, better matching and higher synergies when targets are less protected. We do not find evidence of a trade-off between premiums and takeover probabilities.

Suggested Citation

Cuñat, Vicente and Gine, Mireia and Guadalupe, Maria, Price and Probability: Decomposing the Takeover Effects of Anti-Takeover Provisions (May 2017). CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP12059. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=2971980

Vicente Cuñat (Contact Author)

London School of Economics & Political Science (LSE) - Financial Markets Group ( email )

Houghton Street
London WC2A 2AE
United Kingdom

HOME PAGE: http://www.vicentecunat.com

Mireia Gine

IESE Business School, University of Navarra ( email )

Avenida Pearson 21
Barcelona, 08034
Spain

The University of Pennsylvania ( email )

Philadelphia, PA 19104
United States

Maria Guadalupe

INSEAD - Economics and Political Sciences ( email )

Boulevard de Constance
F-77305 Fontainebleau Cedex
France

Centre for Economic Policy Research (CEPR)

London
United Kingdom

Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA)

P.O. Box 7240
Bonn, D-53072
Germany

Register to save articles to
your library

Register

Paper statistics

Downloads
1
Abstract Views
385
PlumX Metrics