Uncertainty and the Real Effects of Monetary Policy Shocks in the Euro Area
16 Pages Posted: 13 Jun 2017
Date Written: June 12, 2017
Abstract
This paper estimates a nonlinear Interacted-VAR model to investigate whether the effectiveness of monetary policy shocks in the Euro area is influenced by the level of European uncertainty. Generalized Impulse Response Functions à la Koop et al. (1996) suggest that the peak and cumulative effects of monetary policy shocks are lower during uncertain times than during tranquil times, and significantly so once times of very high and very low uncertainty are considered.
Keywords: Monetary Policy Shocks, Non-Linear Structural Vector Auto-Regressions, Interacted-VAR, Generalized Impulse Response Functions, Uncertainty
JEL Classification: C32, E32, E52
Suggested Citation: Suggested Citation