Trends in UAH Zonal Mean Lower Troposphere Temperatures

18 Pages Posted: 14 Jun 2017

Date Written: June 13, 2017


Full span OLS trends in zonal means for land and ocean of UAH satellite based measurements of lower troposphere temperatures 12/1978 to 4/2017 are tested for reliability and their information content in the context of OLS assumptions. Resampling and Gaussian simulations do not indicate instability of full span linear OLS trends in any of the sixteen zonal regions studied. However, comparison of split half trends and trends in a moving window show evidence of nonlinear behavior in nine of the sixteen zonal regions. It is proposed that in such cases trend profiles provide greater insight and more useful trend information than full span linear OLS trends.

Keywords: global warming, climate change, surface temperature, sea surface temperature, lower troposphere temperature, satellite temperature measurements, zonal mean temperatures, UAH satellite temperature dataset, temperature trends, uncertainty in temperature trends, linear OLS regression, assumptions of li

Suggested Citation

Munshi, Jamal, Trends in UAH Zonal Mean Lower Troposphere Temperatures (June 13, 2017). Available at SSRN: or

Jamal Munshi (Contact Author)

Sonoma State University ( email )

1801 East Cotati Avenue
Rohnert Park, CA 94928
United States

Do you want regular updates from SSRN on Twitter?

Paper statistics

Abstract Views
PlumX Metrics